Solar panels at dusk
Live · Whitchurch, Cardiff

I've saved
£1,337
in 17 months.

Solar + battery + Octopus Agile + VPP. My grid import is 1,443 kWh/yr — 50% below the UK average. Every number is real and live.

☀️
Solar now · W
🔋
Battery
Agile rate · p
📊
Generated today · kWh
£1,337
Recovered so far
1,954 kWh
Grid import total
£327
Saved vs standard tariff
4.1 MWh
Solar generated
Live data

Right now at my house

Home Assistant · updates every 30 seconds

Solar
Watts
Battery
Agile Rate
p/kWh
Grid
Generated today
kWh
Imported today
kWh
Exported today
kWh
Weather & Forecast

Today's weather & predicted solar

Cardiff forecast from Home Assistant · solar prediction from Solcast

Cardiff right now
°C
cloud
mph wind
UV index
Predicted solar (Solcast)
Forecast today kWh
Still to come today kWh
Peak power today W
Forecast tomorrow kWh
Does solar work in cloud?

Yes. Right now it's —% cloud cover and my panels are still forecast to make —W.

Solar panels run on daylight, not direct sunshine. On an overcast day they still produce 10–25% of peak from diffuse light — and UV passes straight through cloud. That's why solar works well even in cloudy Cardiff.

7-day solar forecast (kWh/day)
The story

I wanted proof.
Not a salesman's spreadsheet.

After getting panels installed in January 2025, I wired up Home Assistant to track every watt. The results surprised me. My annual grid import dropped to 1,443 kWh — against a UK average of around 2,900 kWh.

The key wasn't just the panels. It was pairing them with a Fox ESS battery, Octopus Agile, and Predbat — which plans every charge slot automatically. Then I added Axle Energy VPP — getting paid £1/kWh when the grid needs extra power.

Now I design these systems for other homeowners. Every number on this site is real.

£1,337
Total recovered
15.7%
Of £8,500 paid back
4.1 MWh
Generated by solar
£144/yr
Axle VPP bonus
See the full data →
Residential rooftop solar installation
System spec
8 × AIKO 455W panels
N-Type ABC · 23.3%
Fox ESS 10.3kWh
3kW inverter
Payback tracker

£1,337 recovered

Since 25 January 2025 · £8,500 invested · 17 months running

Progress to payback 15.7%
£0£8,500
Solar self-use saving
4,145 kWh generated
£836
Agile smart charging
1,954 kWh at avg 12p
£327
Export earnings (SEG)
1,161 kWh at 15p
£174
Total recovered £1,337
+ Axle VPP (now earning) ~£144/yr extra
Solar
At market price — £8,500

Pays back in roughly 8 years

~£944
Year 1
~£939
10yr net
~£19,817
30yr net
Get a personalised estimate →
The system

Four things working together

01

Solar Panels

8 × AIKO 455W N-Type ABC. Generates from 7am, peaks midday, fades by evening.

23.3% efficiency
02

Fox ESS Battery

10.3kWh stores surplus solar. Discharges in the evening covering peak demand.

10,000+ cycles
03

Octopus Agile

Half-hourly pricing. Predbat charges at 5p overnight. Sometimes rates go negative.

avg 12p vs 28p
04

Predbat + VPP

AI-plans every charge slot 48hrs ahead. Axle VPP earns £1/kWh during grid events.

£144/yr VPP bonus
Quick estimate

What could solar save you?

Takes 10 seconds. Enter your monthly bill.

£
Annual saving
£792
Payback
10.7 yrs
30yr return
£15k
Get a personalised estimate →
Free · No obligation

Ready to go solar?

I design systems and put homeowners in touch with The Solar House — the team who fitted my own setup. Just honest, data-driven advice.